DR ZAFAR HASSAN
Stable prices but low cotton turnover witnessed
LAHORE: Cotton prices gained between Rs.100 to Rs.200 per maund (37.32 Kgs) in one week in a steady market but activity remained low. Lint prices from the current crop (2011-2012) in Sindh reportedly ranged from Rs.5000 to Rs.6000 per maund (37.32 Kgs) according to the quality, while in the Punjab they are said to be ranging from Rs.5,600 to Rs.6,200 per maund. As the current season is tapering off, leftover lint may only be from 70,000 to 80,000 bales remaining unsold with the ginners.
New Crop (August 2012 - July 2013) seedcotton (Kapas /Phutti) ranged in price from Rs.2700 to Rs.2750 per 40 Kgs. in Sindh and in the Punjab between Rs.2,900 to Rs.3,000 per 40 Kilogrammes. New crop lint both from Sindh and Punjab is selling from Rs.6,100 to Rs. 6,200 per maund.
The price of current crop (2011-2012) from Sindh ranged from Rs.5000 to Rs.6,000 per maund (37.32 Kgs), while in the Punjab the prices ranged from Rs.5,600 to Rs.6,200 per maund. We may reiterate that the price of new crop (2012-2013) cotton which started arriving in small quantities a few weeks ago has risen from Rs.6,000 to Rs.6,200 per maund. The quality of new crop cotton has been described as being good.
About 2,000 bales of new crop cotton has already been ginned, 400 bales in Sindh and 1600 bales in the Punjab. Ginning factories in Shahdadpur in Sindh and Harunabad and Burewalla in Punjab are already functional. Another three or four ginning factories are expected to start ginning over the next week or ten days. Though the present condition of the domestic cotton is steady, the sentiment could become subdued with the global weakish outlook.
Yarn prices are not weak. Yarn business may be slow but prices remain steady. However, reported global accumulation of yarn stock in some countries and weakening demand of physical cotton following the end of the price tightening condition of the July 2012 contract on the New York futures exchange (ICE) are pointing towards a dull period in cotton values. Still, the specter of larger global cotton supplies overhangs on the cotton exchanges around the world.
This week Raja Pervez Ashraf became prime minister of Pakistan and inherits many economic difficulties. People are hardly hopeful of any material betterment of economic and industrial activity as political uncertainty, increased power and gas shortages and public disenchantment with the status quo are hurting business activity badly. This week's dastardly attack on Business Recorder House in Karachi speaks volumes for the strife-ridden city which continues to suffer from mayhem and ceaseless criminal activity.
President of the Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) has appointed Naseem Usman Osawala as the vice chairman of the Standing Committee on Raw Cotton. Naseem has wide experience and expertise in cotton trade over the past four decades and is a cotton consultant based in Karachi. He is also a senior cotton analyst enjoying trust and respect of the trade. Naseem Usman has quoted officials from both Sindh and Punjab who say that till now there is decrease in sowing area of cotton by 14 to 15 percent due to water shortage in many districts.
On the global economic and financial front, all eyes continue to concentrate on the chronic economic sickness and financial instability not only in the Eurozone, but now all over the world. The leaders of the European Union are currently meeting in Brussels to try and formulate a proposal or programme to save the Eurozone from plunging further into dismal depths and depredation. However, if recent history is anything to go by, it may be more of the same dismal drama being played out by the leading political characters since the last couple of years: they came, they sat, they discussed and they dispersed without providing and tangible wisdom, tolerance, modality or unity to save the Eurozone from sinking further into the slough of despond.
In the mean time, Cyprus became the fifth country in the Eurozone to need a bailout. Two leading players in the Eurozone crisis are French prime minister Franois Hollande and Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel. Both are working at cross purposes in trying to find a viable solution to the ever sickening Eruozone financial and economic crisis. While Hollande is promoting closer fiscal integration and debt management, Frau Markel dislikes any such idea. She is averse to any idea of sharing joint liability in the Eurozone. She thus reportedly rebuffed any idea from Spain and Italy for urgent action to lower their soaring borrowing costs.
Frau Merkel only desires improved controls and structural reforms in the first instance and has also warned that the economic condition of Europe is very serious. She said she is looking for a pact that would ensure economic growth in Europe.
There are now fears that some reporting of economic growth has been deficient or even fudged in China where the real economic growth may be lower that reported earlier. Similar fears had been expressed earlier in relation to Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy. In other news, the ratings of twenty leading global banks have been downgraded. Also, charges are being framed against certain leading banks that they have been manipulating interest rates. Commodity prices have also fallen remarkably in recent months which are further pulling down global economic growth.
The conclusion is that the Europeans are seriously divided amongst themselves and there are many tensions between them which preclude any agreement to any policy for rehabilitation of the zone. In turn, global economic condition keeps worsening and may take many more years to regain normalcy.
Stable prices but low cotton turnover witnessed
LAHORE: Cotton prices gained between Rs.100 to Rs.200 per maund (37.32 Kgs) in one week in a steady market but activity remained low. Lint prices from the current crop (2011-2012) in Sindh reportedly ranged from Rs.5000 to Rs.6000 per maund (37.32 Kgs) according to the quality, while in the Punjab they are said to be ranging from Rs.5,600 to Rs.6,200 per maund. As the current season is tapering off, leftover lint may only be from 70,000 to 80,000 bales remaining unsold with the ginners.
New Crop (August 2012 - July 2013) seedcotton (Kapas /Phutti) ranged in price from Rs.2700 to Rs.2750 per 40 Kgs. in Sindh and in the Punjab between Rs.2,900 to Rs.3,000 per 40 Kilogrammes. New crop lint both from Sindh and Punjab is selling from Rs.6,100 to Rs. 6,200 per maund.
The price of current crop (2011-2012) from Sindh ranged from Rs.5000 to Rs.6,000 per maund (37.32 Kgs), while in the Punjab the prices ranged from Rs.5,600 to Rs.6,200 per maund. We may reiterate that the price of new crop (2012-2013) cotton which started arriving in small quantities a few weeks ago has risen from Rs.6,000 to Rs.6,200 per maund. The quality of new crop cotton has been described as being good.
About 2,000 bales of new crop cotton has already been ginned, 400 bales in Sindh and 1600 bales in the Punjab. Ginning factories in Shahdadpur in Sindh and Harunabad and Burewalla in Punjab are already functional. Another three or four ginning factories are expected to start ginning over the next week or ten days. Though the present condition of the domestic cotton is steady, the sentiment could become subdued with the global weakish outlook.
Yarn prices are not weak. Yarn business may be slow but prices remain steady. However, reported global accumulation of yarn stock in some countries and weakening demand of physical cotton following the end of the price tightening condition of the July 2012 contract on the New York futures exchange (ICE) are pointing towards a dull period in cotton values. Still, the specter of larger global cotton supplies overhangs on the cotton exchanges around the world.
This week Raja Pervez Ashraf became prime minister of Pakistan and inherits many economic difficulties. People are hardly hopeful of any material betterment of economic and industrial activity as political uncertainty, increased power and gas shortages and public disenchantment with the status quo are hurting business activity badly. This week's dastardly attack on Business Recorder House in Karachi speaks volumes for the strife-ridden city which continues to suffer from mayhem and ceaseless criminal activity.
President of the Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) has appointed Naseem Usman Osawala as the vice chairman of the Standing Committee on Raw Cotton. Naseem has wide experience and expertise in cotton trade over the past four decades and is a cotton consultant based in Karachi. He is also a senior cotton analyst enjoying trust and respect of the trade. Naseem Usman has quoted officials from both Sindh and Punjab who say that till now there is decrease in sowing area of cotton by 14 to 15 percent due to water shortage in many districts.
On the global economic and financial front, all eyes continue to concentrate on the chronic economic sickness and financial instability not only in the Eurozone, but now all over the world. The leaders of the European Union are currently meeting in Brussels to try and formulate a proposal or programme to save the Eurozone from plunging further into dismal depths and depredation. However, if recent history is anything to go by, it may be more of the same dismal drama being played out by the leading political characters since the last couple of years: they came, they sat, they discussed and they dispersed without providing and tangible wisdom, tolerance, modality or unity to save the Eurozone from sinking further into the slough of despond.
In the mean time, Cyprus became the fifth country in the Eurozone to need a bailout. Two leading players in the Eurozone crisis are French prime minister Franois Hollande and Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel. Both are working at cross purposes in trying to find a viable solution to the ever sickening Eruozone financial and economic crisis. While Hollande is promoting closer fiscal integration and debt management, Frau Markel dislikes any such idea. She is averse to any idea of sharing joint liability in the Eurozone. She thus reportedly rebuffed any idea from Spain and Italy for urgent action to lower their soaring borrowing costs.
Frau Merkel only desires improved controls and structural reforms in the first instance and has also warned that the economic condition of Europe is very serious. She said she is looking for a pact that would ensure economic growth in Europe.
There are now fears that some reporting of economic growth has been deficient or even fudged in China where the real economic growth may be lower that reported earlier. Similar fears had been expressed earlier in relation to Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy. In other news, the ratings of twenty leading global banks have been downgraded. Also, charges are being framed against certain leading banks that they have been manipulating interest rates. Commodity prices have also fallen remarkably in recent months which are further pulling down global economic growth.
The conclusion is that the Europeans are seriously divided amongst themselves and there are many tensions between them which preclude any agreement to any policy for rehabilitation of the zone. In turn, global economic condition keeps worsening and may take many more years to regain normalcy.
